rax mlb · game winner · live

a typical gap, in points

+5.1

Two prices for the same game.

rax strips the juice out of the sportsbook moneyline and holds it against the live market on Real. When the two disagree by enough to matter, the game hits the board.

book, de-vigged
real market
the gap rax bets

The book says one thing. The market says another.

book, de-vigged
60.1%
real market
55.0%

the disagreement rax bets: +5.1 points

Every edge, sized and ranked.

Sorted by expected value, top to bottom. One line per game, no noise.

gamebookrealgapev
ARI Diamondbacks60.155.0+5.1+8.4%
CLE Guardians57.353.9+3.4+5.1%
SD Padres48.645.9+2.7+3.9%
NYY Yankees68.866.4+2.4+2.8%

Strip the juice. Compare. Print the edge.

  1. de-vig

    Take the sportsbook moneyline and strip the juice out — down to the fair price the book actually believes.

  2. compare

    Hold that against Real’s live market price for the same game, the same moment.

  3. print

    When they split by two points or more, it hits the board — sized in units, ranked by EV.

Built by two people. Paul Andrew Sullivan and Gregory Goodfellow. The model, the scanner, and this page — no team, no template.